Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.026591 0.028661 0.030741 0.032984 0.035332 0.037715 0.040313
2025-11-30 0.022563 0.025789 0.029151 0.032903 0.036959 0.041199 0.045953
2025-12-07 0.019747 0.023578 0.027679 0.032367 0.037548 0.043074 0.049386
2025-12-14 0.017483 0.021706 0.026333 0.031732 0.037814 0.044407 0.052051
2025-12-21 0.015557 0.020037 0.025054 0.031021 0.037853 0.045368 0.054194
2025-12-28 0.014744 0.019567 0.025066 0.031703 0.039401 0.047964 0.058120
2026-01-04 0.013712 0.018760 0.024617 0.031790 0.040217 0.049690 0.061031
2026-01-11 0.012705 0.017913 0.024061 0.031698 0.040779 0.051089 0.063539
2026-01-18 0.012195 0.017637 0.024157 0.032351 0.042189 0.053450 0.067143
2026-01-25 0.011369 0.016916 0.023670 0.032266 0.042697 0.054740 0.069492
2026-02-01 0.010639 0.016275 0.023245 0.032225 0.043231 0.056039 0.071837
2026-02-08 0.009964 0.015668 0.022831 0.032169 0.043722 0.057272 0.074091
2026-02-15 0.009191 0.014931 0.022267 0.031964 0.044091 0.058437 0.076373
2026-02-22 0.008506 0.014285 0.021806 0.031881 0.044617 0.059810 0.078934
2026-03-01 0.007708 0.013431 0.021029 0.031356 0.044560 0.060452 0.080602
2026-03-08 0.006942 0.012574 0.020206 0.030735 0.044351 0.060882 0.081993
2026-03-15 0.006216 0.011726 0.019355 0.030039 0.044013 0.061129 0.083141
2026-03-22 0.006014 0.011643 0.019541 0.030706 0.045413 0.063522 0.086910
2026-03-29 0.005635 0.011268 0.019303 0.030792 0.046054 0.064967 0.089518
2026-04-05 0.005229 0.010824 0.018947 0.030702 0.046455 0.066103 0.091741
2026-04-12 0.005070 0.010762 0.019130 0.031341 0.047805 0.068435 0.095450
2026-04-19 0.004712 0.010356 0.018798 0.031258 0.048198 0.069553 0.097649
2026-04-26 0.004391 0.009990 0.018506 0.031218 0.048636 0.070722 0.099911